BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 111 Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (3-6) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =   90.40

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Away    L   117.36  13  26   1A  86 (  6-  7) Texas-San Antonio      24.50 *  -37.50                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L *  98.21  18  21   1B  89 (  5-  6) Alcorn St               5.36     -8.36                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    L *  51.93   6  64   1B  67 (  8-  3) Southern U.           -40.92    -17.08                      
  4 09/24/2016 Home    L *  86.06  27  31   1B 104 (  4-  7) Texas Southern         -6.80      2.80                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    W *  84.65  41  21   1B 124 (  1- 10) Arkansas-Pine Bluff    -8.21     28.21                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    L *  95.54  17  24   1B  83 (  7-  4) Prairie View A&M        2.68     -9.68                      
  7 10/15/2016 Home    W *  99.30  56  24   1B 125 (  1- 10) Mississippi Valley S    6.44     25.56                      
  8 10/29/2016 Neutral L *  86.12  41  42   1B 117 (  4-  7) Alabama A&M            -6.73      5.73                      
  9 11/05/2016 Home    W *  91.57  14   7   1B 116 (  3-  8) Jackson St             -1.28      8.28                      
 10 11/12/2016 Neutral L *  97.70   0  21   1B  38 ( 11-  1) Grambling St            4.84    -25.84                      
 11 11/24/2016 Home    W   112.97  53  20    2 117 (  5-  5) Miles                  20.11     12.89                      
      Averages              92.85  26.0 27.4

Best game:  117.36 = 13 point loss to Texas-San Antonio
Worst game:  51.93 = 58 point loss to Southern U.
Team stdev:  17.15